Raila Odinga’s bid for the African Union Commission (AUC) Chairperson role brings both strong support and significant challenges.
Backed by Kenya’s President William Ruto, Odinga’s candidacy has seen a concerted effort from Kenyan diplomats to rally support across Africa, including endorsements from key countries like South Africa, Uganda, Tanzania, and Ghana
With his background as the AU High Representative for Infrastructure and his extensive political experience, Odinga possesses valuable diplomatic credentials.
However, his dismissal from the AU earlier in 2023, amid allegations linked to political protests in Kenya, may complicate his bid.
The AUC Chairperson position has demanding qualifications, including extensive experience in diplomacy and governance, and requires substantial backing across Africa.
To win, Odinga must secure a two-thirds majority from AU member states during the Assembly session, where votes are cast in a secret ballot.
His campaign has faced stiff competition from other notable figures, like Somalia’s Fawzia Yusuf Haji Adam, who brings her own diplomatic legacy and is vying for the chairperson role, making this a competitive race.
The election is set for February 2025, and while Odinga’s profile and strategic endorsements could strengthen his candidacy, he faces potential regional divides and the need for broader continental support.
Should he win, Odinga would hold a four-year term, leading the AU’s policy and administrative efforts toward its goals under the Agenda 2063 framework.
His victory would also mean a step back from Kenya’s domestic politics, reshaping his influence in Kenya while expanding his role on the continental stage.