Former Kieni Member of Parliament (MP) Kanini Kega has issued a bold warning to current MPs, governors, and senators, predicting that many of them could be voted out in the next election.
According to him, the amount of money a politician is spending on their reelection campaign is a clear sign of whether or not they will make it back.
Speaking through his social media page on July 2, Kega hinted that heavy spending is usually a desperate move—often made by those who sense they are on the losing end. He appeared to speak from personal experience, referring to his own loss in the 2022 general elections.
“If you’re spending more money now than you did in your previous campaign, just know you’re going home early. Ask me!” he posted.
His comment was not only a warning to others but also a reflection of the hard lessons he has learned over his two-decade-long political journey.
Kega first vied for the Kieni MP seat in the 2002 and 2007 general elections but failed both times. He finally succeeded in 2013 and served two terms.
Over time, he rose through the political ranks and was appointed as the National Secretary General of the Jubilee Party. This role brought him even closer to former President Uhuru Kenyatta, making him one of the ex-head of state’s most trusted allies.
However, in 2022, his political career faced a major setback when he lost his parliamentary seat to Njoroge Wainaina, a candidate from the United Democratic Alliance (UDA).
At the time, the Jubilee Party had been divided into two factions—one supporting Raila Odinga of the Orange Democratic Movement (ODM), and the other backing then Deputy President William Ruto, who led UDA.
Kega has previously blamed his loss on his decision to support Odinga, saying that trying to convince the people of Mount Kenya to back the ODM leader worked against him. He believes his alignment with Raila caused him to lose the trust of many voters in the region.
After the 2022 elections, Jubilee Party was rocked by leadership disputes. Kega and fellow politician Sabina Chege took control of the party, claiming leadership in what many referred to as an “unconstitutional coup.”
The matter ended up in court, and in a major ruling, the High Court overturned the changes, handing full control of the party back to former President Uhuru Kenyatta.
Despite his loss in the Kieni race, Kega managed to bounce back into active politics later that year. In November 2022, he was appointed to represent Kenya at the East African Legislative Assembly (EALA), returning to parliament in a regional role.
Kega’s recent remarks have sparked speculation that he may be targeting certain big-name politicians who are already splashing money ahead of the next general election. His message is being interpreted as both a warning and a lesson from someone who knows firsthand how unpredictable politics can be.
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