Saboti Member of Parliament and close Raila Odinga ally, Caleb Amisi, has warned President William Ruto that his chances of re-election are in serious danger.
This follows the release of a new opinion poll by Trends and Insights for Africa (TIFA), which paints a grim picture of how Kenyans feel about the country’s direction under Ruto’s leadership since his election in 2022.
According to the survey, conducted from May 2 to May 6, a staggering 75 per cent of Kenyans believe the country is headed in the wrong direction.
The poll sampled views from 2,024 people across nine regions — including Coast, Western, South Rift, Central Rift, Mt. Kenya, Lower Eastern, Nairobi, Nyanza, and parts of Western Kenya.
In a strongly worded statement issued on May 28, MP Amisi said that President Ruto should take this poll seriously.
He reminded the President that he has just one more financial year before the next general election to convince Kenyans that he deserves another term.
“What should truly worry Ruto is that 75 per cent of the population has lost trust in his leadership. With only one financial year left before the next election cycle, he must now pull off an unimaginable political miracle to win back the people’s confidence,” Amisi stated. “Turning that figure into 49.9 per cent or less would be the greatest political turnaround ever witnessed anywhere on Earth — even in Vatican City. Kenya urgently needs a rebirth — a fresh direction.”
The TIFA survey revealed that most of those who believe Kenya is on the wrong path blame economic challenges.
A total of 86 per cent of this group say their economic situation has worsened under Ruto’s government. In stark contrast, only 30 per cent of those who feel the country is on the right track reported experiencing economic decline.
Even more telling, only 4 per cent of people who think Kenya is heading in the wrong direction reported any improvement in their financial lives. Meanwhile, 36 per cent of those who believe the country is on the right path said their economic situation has improved.
The report makes it clear that people who are seeing positive economic change are more likely to have confidence in the direction the country is taking.
“To illustrate this further: while just about one-third of Kenyans who say the country is going in the ‘right’ direction also report having faced economic difficulties over the past three years (30 per cent), almost three times that number — 86 per cent — among those who believe Kenya is going in the ‘wrong’ direction say they’ve suffered financially,” the report explained.
“On the other hand, over one-third of those who feel Kenya is on the right track report economic gains (36 per cent), but only one in nine — or 4 per cent — of those who believe the country is off-track have experienced any improvement in their financial well-being,” the poll added.
These statistics show a growing disconnect between the government’s narrative and how ordinary citizens feel about their daily lives.
As discontent rises, political leaders like Amisi are turning up the heat, signaling that the coming year will be critical for President Ruto if he hopes to secure a second term.
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